Minnesota's draft packaging EPR needs assessment: 5 takeaways for producers

Minnesota's draft packaging EPR needs assessment: 5 takeaways for producers

Minnesota's draft packaging EPR needs assessment: 5 takeaways for producers

MARKET UPDATES

Grace Lam

Grace Lam

·

Co-Founder

In September, the Minnesota Pollution Control Agency (MPCA) published its Draft 2026 Needs Assessment for the Packaging Waste and Cost Reduction Act, Minnesota's packaging EPR law. Once final, which the law requires by December 31, 2026, it becomes the baseline every future target is measured against. The public can comment through November 13. At Neta AI, we went through all 581 pages, and here is what producers need to know.

Key Takeaways

  • From 2032, packaging must be reusable, refillable, recyclable or compostable, and a material on no collection list could not be sold in Minnesota without an extension.

  • Minnesota recycles 48% of covered packaging, but only 0.2% of residential flexible plastic, and the rate for covered entities alone is 34%.

  • EPS, PVC and several plastic films are proposed for no collection list through 2039, while paper cups and polycoated takeout containers join curbside in 2032.

  • Recycled content minimums are proposed as statewide ranges, with paper's year-5 range starting below today's level.

  • The recycling system producers fund grows from $205M to $321M a year by year 5, mostly to extend curbside to about 600,000 rural homes.

In September, the Minnesota Pollution Control Agency (MPCA) published its Draft 2026 Needs Assessment for the Packaging Waste and Cost Reduction Act, Minnesota's packaging EPR law. Once final, which the law requires by December 31, 2026, it becomes the baseline every future target is measured against. The public can comment through November 13. At Neta AI, we went through all 581 pages, and here is what producers need to know.

Key Takeaways

  • From 2032, packaging must be reusable, refillable, recyclable or compostable, and a material on no collection list could not be sold in Minnesota without an extension.

  • Minnesota recycles 48% of covered packaging, but only 0.2% of residential flexible plastic, and the rate for covered entities alone is 34%.

  • EPS, PVC and several plastic films are proposed for no collection list through 2039, while paper cups and polycoated takeout containers join curbside in 2032.

  • Recycled content minimums are proposed as statewide ranges, with paper's year-5 range starting below today's level.

  • The recycling system producers fund grows from $205M to $321M a year by year 5, mostly to extend curbside to about 600,000 rural homes.

  1. The 2032 design requirement sets the clock

Minnesota's law runs on two clocks. The first is funding. Producers reimburse a growing share of the net cost of recycling services for covered entities (homes, schools, childcare centers, small nonprofits and public buildings): 50% from February 2029, 75% from 2030 and 90% from 2031 on. Restaurants and most businesses aren't covered entities, but the packaging they receive is still covered material.

The second clock is design. From January 1, 2032, every covered material must be reusable, refillable, recyclable or compostable, and a material on no collection list could not be sold into the state. Circular Action Alliance (CAA), the producer responsibility organization (PRO), can petition for extensions, but those end on January 1, 2040.

Key dates: collection lists set July 2028, producers fund 50% to 90% from 2029 to 2031, design requirement in 2032



2. Recycling stands at 48%, and film barely registers

Minnesota generated about 2.68 million tons of covered packaging and paper in 2024. More than half (54%) came from businesses whose collection producers don't have to fund. The headline 48% recycling rate includes that business recycling. Counting only covered entities, the rate is 34%, and residents alone recycle 33%.

By material, glass leads residential recycling at 66%, followed by paper and fiber at 43%. Flexible plastic sits at 0.2%, because no responding recycling facility accepts film from homes. Film is also the largest plastic stream by weight, though the report itself calls its film tonnage "abnormally high."

Residential recycling rate by material, 2024: glass 66%, flexible plastic 0.2%, against a 48% statewide rate



  1. The collection lists decide what can be sold after 2032

The 2032 requirement runs through the collection lists. They define which materials count as recyclable or compostable, so a material on no list could not be sold in Minnesota after 2032, unless it gets an extension. MPCA will set two lists: a commingled list for curbside and an alternative list for drop-off and retail take-back.

These are recommendations only. MPCA sets the final lists by July 1, 2028. The draft recommends leaving EPS, PVC, LDPE and #7 rigid plastics, non-polyolefin laminates, and PET, PS and PVC film off every list through 2039. Paper cups and polycoated takeout containers join the curbside list in 2032. Most film goes to drop-off and take-back, yet only 11% of surveyed county drop-off sites accept film today.

Draft collection list recommendations: curbside, drop-off and take-back, and no list


  1. Recycled content targets are statewide, not per SKU

Postconsumer recycled content (PCR) minimums are required by law, and the draft proposes them as ranges by material. They are met statewide through CAA rather than set as per-SKU minimums, so no single package has to hit the number.

Plastic has the furthest to go. Today's plastic PCR is mostly PET and HDPE, while PP, other rigid plastics and film run under 5%. Paper is the opposite case: its year-5 range of 25 to 35% starts below today's estimated 30 to 40%.

Postconsumer recycled content by material: today vs proposed year-5 and year-10 ranges


What this means for producers: Annual reports would include PCR tons, method and supporting documentation. Mass balance is allowed, and certifications such as ISCC Plus, APR and UL 2809 qualify, with no single scheme required.


  1. Recycling system costs rise by more than half

The recycling system producers fund grows from $205M to $321M a year by year 5, a 57% increase. Per household, that's $90 a year today and $141 by year 5.

More than half the increase is residential collection, mainly extending curbside service to about 600,000 more single-family homes, most of them rural. Today only 64% of single-family homes have curbside recycling, with near-universal access in the Twin Cities and 25 to 49% elsewhere. Administration and education is the fastest-growing line, rising from $4M to $29M a year.

Annual cost of covered recycling services rises from $205M to $321M by year 5


What producers should do now

  1. Comment on the draft by November 13, starting with paper PCR, film tonnage and list placement for PS and thermoforms.

  2. Flag SKUs that use EPS, PVC, #7 rigid plastics, non-polyolefin laminates, or PET, PS or PVC film.

  3. Watch PS and polycoated foodservice items, like cups and takeout containers, for higher fees and list changes.

  4. Start capturing unit counts per SKU alongside weights, by application and at the component level.

  5. Collect PCR documentation and compostability certificates (ASTM D6400 or D6868) for each material.


What's next?

MPCA must finalize the needs assessment by December 31, 2026. The collection lists, statewide requirements and CAA's first stewardship plan follow in 2027 and 2028.

At Neta AI, we track packaging EPR across every state and turn rules like these into SKU-level compliance checks, so teams can see how changes flow through their packaging footprint and SKU portfolio. If you want to see what Minnesota's draft means for your portfolio, reach out. We'd love to walk you through it.

Since you made it this far, why not sign up for our newsletter?

Since you made it this far, why not sign up for our newsletter?

Make smarter
packaging decisions

See how we can cut your time spent on packaging compliance and data tracking by half

Make smarter
packaging decisions

See how we can cut your time spent on packaging compliance and data tracking by half

Make smarter
packaging decisions

See how we can cut your time spent on packaging compliance and data tracking by half

Stay up to date

2025 NetaCarbon, Inc., All rights reserved.

Website by Dan Marek

Photos from Unsplash

Stay up to date

2025 NetaCarbon, Inc., All rights reserved.

Website by Dan Marek

Photos from Unsplash

Stay up to date

2025 NetaCarbon, Inc., All rights reserved.

Website by Dan Marek

Photos from Unsplash